
Pakistan close to clinching an oil deal with Russia
Pakistan is
close to a final agreement with Russia for the import of crude oil and
petroleum products, with the first consignment expected to arrive in the
country after a final deal is sorted in late March. Pakistani foreign minister
Bilawal Bhutto has arrived in Moscow to hold talks with his Russian counterpart
and clinch the deal which will help Islambad tide over the serious economic
crisis following the steep drop in foreign exchange reservds
Russian Energy Minister Nikolay
Shulginov was in Pakistan last week to discuss the deal. “We have already
decided to draft an agreement to sort out all the issues that we have with
regard to transportation, insurance, payments and volumes. These issues are in
the final stage of the agreement,” Shulginov said. Granted that the crucial
details still need to be ironed out, the deal, if finalized, would be significant
for Pakistan’s economy and its ties with the world.
It is the first solid start that
Pakistan and Russia have made toward establishing bilateral cooperation in the
oil and gas trade. In the past, conversations in this regard did not move
beyond statements of interest. Now, Pakistan not only wants to start imports in
a few months but also desires to fulfill 35
percent of its total crude oil requirement from Russia. If all goes as planned, the trade
could reshape the bilateral relationship to a greater extent, allowing both
countries to structure their ties more effectively.
The prospect of oil and gas imports from
Russia also means that Pakistan, which is already procuring oil from Saudi
Arabia and other Gulf states on deferred payment options, has another source to
access oil at discounted prices. This is important as Pakistan faces a
default-like situation, with foreign currency reserves barely enough to cover
three weeks of oil imports. Energy accounts for the biggest share of Pakistan’s
imports, and cheaper oil from Russia will help Pakistan in containing the
expanding trade deficit and balance-of-payments crisis.
At this stage, it is unclear which
currency Pakistan and Russia will use to make the payment. However, Pakistan is
expected to use the Chinese Yuan to
pay for Russian oil. According to the joint statement, once “consensus on the
technical specification [is] achieved, the oil and gas trade transactions will
be structured in a way it has mutual benefit for both countries.” This could
help ease some of the pressure Pakistan is facing on its foreign currency
reserves.
The development is also a major diplomatic
success for Pakistan. It seems that Pakistan has found a way to get around
Western sanctions against Russia in the wake of the Russian invasion of
Ukraine. Had Pakistan feared that the deal would provoke the United States and
its allies, the country may not have reached this advanced stage of
negotiations with Russia. This is particularly important as Pakistan is
currently negotiating another review for the release of crucial funds from the
International Monetary Fund (IMF).
The fast pace with which Pakistan
and Russia are moving to close a deal indicates that the United States may not
have an objection to the two countries doing business. It is also possible that
Pakistan may have taken the U.S. on board regarding its decision to import
Russian oil. So far, neither the U.S. nor Pakistan’s traditional energy
suppliers in the Gulf have issued statements objecting to Islamabad’s ongoing
negotiations with Moscow.
Seemingly, things are working out for Pakistan. Its attempt to lock in a
deal with Moscow is moving forward without much resistance from anywhere.
Islamabad should now be focused on completing all technical details to ensure
that Russian supplies arrive at Pakistani Ports at the earliest.