The possibility of sugar export in the current season
remains uncertain, though experts believe the government may permit sugar
export for the new crop sometime in September/October.
Speaking on export possibilities, sugar expert and
Director of Gradient Commercial Pvt. Ltd., YatinWadhwana, said, “The government will look at allowing
export of sugar from the new crop sometime in September/October and it will be
a graded approach with quota system with 1-2 million MT in the first
tranche followed by subsequent quantities based on the progress of the crop and
the Ethanol programme. As always their priority will be domestic consumption,
followed by the ethanol blending programme and exports of any further surplus.
Given the current progress of the Monsoon in the growing areas and the crop
condition we can estimate a sugar production of upwards of 32 million MT after
diversion to Ethanol for the next crop, which means that there will be surplus
available for export after taking care of the Ethanol blending programme.”
Recently, the
Indian Sugar and Bio-Energy Manufacturers Association (ISMA), the apex sugar
body, has asked the government to re-consider permitting export of surplus
sugar after due consideration of domestic demand and supply. Sugar body believes, with the opening stock of around
56 lakh tonnesin October 2023 in addition to forecasted domestic consumption of
nearly 285 lakh tonnes for the season, will result in higher closing stock of
91 lakh tonnes by the end of September 2024. This estimated surplus, amounting
to 36 lakh tonnes above the normative stock of 55 lakh tonnes, can potentially
lead to additional costs for the millers on account of idle inventory and
carrying costs. Therefore, ISMA has urged the Government to re-consider
allowing sugar exports. This will boost the financial liquidity of sugar mills
and enable timely payments to cane farmers. ISMA believes that allowing exports
will contribute to the smooth functioning of the sugar industry and foster
economic stability.
India had imposed
restrictions on sugar exports due to concerns about a poor harvest and high
domestic prices.