President Prabowo Subianto, who took the oath of office
on Sunday, 20 Oct also plans to build on the previous administration's efforts
to tap massive gas discoveries in South Andaman and lift biofuels use. Formerly a member of the Organization of
the Petroleum Exporting Countries (OPEC), Indonesia's oil production has
declined to under 600,000 barrels per day (bpd) this year from a peak of around
1.6 million bpd in the 1990s due to ageing blocks and sluggish investment. At
the same time, oil consumption in the world's fourth-most populous country has
more than doubled to 1.5 million bpd, leading to imports of oil and fuel
products that have averaged $28 billion annually in the past decade.
"We must have
energy self-sufficiency and we are capable to be self-sufficient," Prabowo
said in his inauguration speech, citing rising geopolitical tension. Komaidi
Notonegoro, energy analyst at ReforMiner Institute, said exploration and
production contractors must deal with 19 often-rival agencies to secure
permits. "The oil and gas
contractors should be busy looking for new reserves instead of taking care of
permits, it takes too much time," he said.
To increase production, the new government plans to
push reactivation of nearly 5,000 idle wells, Bahlil said.
"The government's main concern is volume, but
these contractors are running a business. The question is, whether the
government will be willing to compensate" for the added cost, Komaidi
said.
To reduce liquefied petroleum gas (LPG) imports, the
new government aims to double production of the cooking fuel from 1.7 million
tons per year, Bahlil said. Indonesia imports around 70% of the 8 million tons
of LPG it consumes annually.
Prabowo also has
ambitious targets to increase biodiesel and bioethanol use, which some experts
have said should be his main energy sector focus.
"We have to be realistic. Prabowo can no longer
rely on oil and gas," Fahmy Radhi of Gadjah Mada University said. "It
is best if he put renewable energy as a high priority and focus on that from
the get-go."
Prabowo plans to increase the share of palm oil-based
fuel in diesel to a world-leading 50%, from 35% now, and on Sunday listed
cassava and corn, in addition to palm, as potential biofuel feedstocks.