These unforeseen
developments include the delay of the onion harvest, Katharani explains. "Unseasonal heavy rains in Nashik
have delayed new crop arrivals by 15 days. Meanwhile, the upcoming
Deepavali festival will close many markets, exacerbating labor shortages as
workers return home. South crop regions face similar weather challenges, but
the meteorological department predicts clearing skies in Nashik and the South
within a day or two."
According to Katharani, the upcoming new onion crop
will take some pressure of the market in terms of prices: "We expect increased new crop arrivals from
Nashik in about 10 to 15 days, which should improve the overall quality and
potentially lower the rates. This is why we recommend delaying onion purchases
for 10-15 days, or buying only as truly needed. The 20% export duty on onions
remains in effect and there are no further cuts announced by the
Government." The new onion crop is
also expected to be a bumper crop, so availability will not be an issue,
Katharani states. "Favorable weather conditions and circumstances have
led to extensive sowing, resulting in an anticipated bumper crop, surpassing
previous years' yields. Currently, domestic prices are competitive with
international levels, but export duties slightly elevate them. Once the duty is
removed and new crop arrivals begin, prices will decline, making exports more
viable. We expect a downward market trend from mid-to-end November in terms of
prices."
"For our company, the primary export
destinations for agricultural produce are Malaysia, Indonesia, Gulf Countries
and Sri Lanka. Demand remains steady throughout the year, with year-on-year
growth. However, government
interventions to regulate domestic markets occasionally impact export
volumes," Katharani concludes.