The November increase,
which exceeded October’s 9.7% gain, represents one of the strongest growth
periods in container shipping history outside of the pandemic era. Total
inbound volume reached 2,033,620 TEU, though still remaining 11.1% below the
record set in May 2022. “Using the
trailing twelve month growth number as a metric, the 14.7% in the latest yearly
period is, after excluding ten months during the pandemic, near or at the top
of any one year growth period ever,” stated McCown.
“We are unquestionably
seeing unusually strong and consistent volume growth,”
The total value of
containerized goods moving through all U.S. ports, including those outside the
top 10, reached $185.3 billion in November.
McCown’s report highlights the continuing coastal
shift due to ongoing labor concerns at East and Gulf Coast ports, with the
International Longshoremen’s Association (ILA) and U.S. Maritime Alliance
(USMX) locked in a heated dispute over port automation. McCown notes that West Coast ports have
outperformed their East/Gulf Coast counterparts in fourteen of the past sixteen
months. This westward shift intensified after a three-day ILA strike in October
that ended with a contract extension until January 15, 2025.
The coastal divergence is stark, with West Coast
ports operating 10.1% above their 52-month average, while East/Gulf Coast
facilities dropped 3.4% below their average. November data showed a 14.2 percentage point coastal gap, with West
Coast ports posting a 20.2% increase compared to just 6.0% for East/Gulf Coast
facilities.
Despite concerns about
potential inventory buildup and supply chain disruptions, McCown reports that
official Census data shows minimal impact from volume being pulled forward,
though coastal shifting remains significant.