A shift from a
forecasting focus to one on early warning systems at the local level and making
relevant data more accessible for research will go a long way. And, policy must
be proactive to contain fallout rather than being reactive to it, says a
Climate Scientist.
India’s remarkable
strides in science and technology are reflected in the prestigious Rashtriya
Vigyan Puraskar — the National Science Award — conferred by the President of
India this week. Among the scientists recognised for their contributions, I am
honoured to be acknowledged in the field of climate science.
Climate science, of course, is a dynamic field that
will be key to India tackling the climate crisis as it unfolds — now and in the
future. As the country’s
climate landscape evolves rapidly, often outpacing our research and development
efforts, it raises critical questions: How has this landscape shifted, and what
steps can we take to address the grave challenges that accompany it?
India’s climate
landscape has experienced dramatic changes over recent decades. The once
favourable geographical positioning, flanked by the seas and the mountains, now
faces significant threats. The Indian
Ocean is warming rapidly, and the Himalayan glaciers are melting away. The
subcontinent now faces more frequent and intense weather events, including
floods, cloudbursts, landslides, heatwaves, droughts, and cyclones. The climate impacts are compounded by
increasing land-use changes and rapid development. These impacts threaten food,
water, and energy security and endanger lives and livelihoods across India.
It is now clear we
need comprehensive early warning systems, not just forecasts. Addressing the escalating climate
challenges requires more than weather forecasting. India’s forecasting
system is among the best globally, fairly capable of predicting our tropical
weather conditions up to three days in advance. However, weather forecasts do
not always translate to the impacts experienced on the ground. Weather
information needs to be taken to the next level, to generate landslide and
flashflood forecasts and also early warnings for climate-sensitive diseases
like dengue.
This year, July and
August saw a number of landslides, including the ones in Wayanad that took over
500 lives, and a flurry of dengue cases across the country. We did not have a comprehensive framework to provide early warnings
for these events.
Effective early
warning systems must integrate local topography, demographics, and infrastructure.
They should account for regional variations and ensure timely communication of
risks, which requires enhanced coordination across various government
ministries and departments.
We urgently need a dedicated research and
development institution focused on early warning systems. Such an institution should facilitate data
exchange, promote inter-ministerial cooperation, and provide actionable
insights to the disaster management authorities.
We also need policies
that can safeguard lives and livelihoods. Reactive disaster management
responses to forecasts are often inadequate to save lives and livelihoods. A
more proactive approach is needed, one that involves disaster-proofing regions
at the district and panchayat levels. We
need policies that focus on identifying hazardous hotspots — whether it is
landslides, cloudbursts, heatwaves, or dengue — and implement proactive
measures to protect the most vulnerable populations. We have the technological
capability to achieve this, and it is crucial for protecting those most at risk.
And, very
significantly, we need to make the relevant data accessible. Data accessibility
and sharing are critical for addressing climate challenges in India, yet they
remain one of the biggest hurdles. The country’s data accessibility policy
mandates that data from all ministries and departments be open and shareable,
with data management units in each ministry ensuring public accessibility. The
principle is straightforward — publicly-funded data should be available in the
public domain. However, poor implementation has created barriers to
transdisciplinary research. For example, my research student’s request for
forest vegetation data to study climate impacts was met with demands for
exorbitant fees from the forest department, despite the department being a
primary beneficiary. Similarly, another student’s attempt to access weekly
dengue data for developing a health early warning system was hindered by lack
of access, despite the data being held by state health departments. This situation
highlights the urgent need for a robust framework to make India’s data more
accessible, ensuring it supports research and decision-making within the
country.
Climate adaptation
requires collective action, and local communities are crucial to this effort.
Educating people about climate risks and engaging them in disaster preparedness
can significantly enhance response strategies. Communities can participate in
activities like monitoring weather and climate conditions, restoring local
ecosystems, and contributing to early warning systems through citizen science
networks.
Integrating indigenous
knowledge with modern science offers a holistic approach to managing
environmental risks. By involving communities in these efforts, we strengthen
our ability to develop resilient, adaptive strategies to face climate
challenges together.
India stands at a
critical juncture in its climate journey. The need for comprehensive,
multi-layered approaches to climate resilience has never been more pressing. By
investing in advanced early warning systems, ensuring robust data
accessibility, and developing proactive policies, we can better mitigate the
impacts of the climate crisis and safeguard our most vulnerable populations.
As we celebrate
scientific achievements and recognise the contributions of our innovators, let
us also commit to building a resilient and disaster-proof India. A local early
warning mission is as important to the Earth’s future as any space mission.
With dedication and a comprehensive approach, we can tackle the climate
challenges of today and ensure a safer, more secure future for all.