He was speaking on the Union
Budget 2024-25, at a meeting organised by the Governor of Tamil Nadu, R N
Ravi. Giving some data, the Chief Economic Adviser said
that the average applied tariff for all merchandise products was (in 2021) 8.3
per cent, compared with 13.6 per cent in South Korea, 11.5 per cent in
Thailand, 9.6 per cent in Vietnam, 7.5 per cent in China and going all the way
down to 3.4 per cent in the US.
Likewise, the average applied tariff for non-agricultural products was 14.9 per
cent in India, compared with 8.4 per cent in Vietnam, 7.1 per cent in Thailand
and 3.1 per cent in the US.
“In the absence of domestic capacity, the cost of production increased
due to tariffs on inputs in the supply chain, raising the total bill of
materials,” he said.
By way of an
example, Nageswaran noted that although iPhones were produced in India, they
cost more in India than in other countries. The price
of iPhone 16, as of September 11, was ₹79,900 in India, higher than the US, UK,
Dubai, China, Vietnam, Thailand and Canada.
Cognizant of this, the Budget for 2024-25 had brought down tariffs on
many key components, he said. Starting
his lecture on why it is tougher for India to become a developed country than
for China, Nageswaran noted that when China grew in the last three decades, it
had a growing global economy and did not have to contend with global
geopolitical tensions. Nor did China have to concern itself much with
climate change, but India would have to now. Also, India has to face
competition from China, whereas China did not have such a competitor, he said.
Given that the external atmosphere is not so conducing, India will have
to look at the domestic market for growth, he said, dilating on points such as
agricultural productivity, manufacturing, employment and skilling,
infrastructure and energy. Stressing
that India’s economic parameters, such as GDP growth rates, inflation, steady
private consumption and public investments resulting in gross capital
formation, were good and signaled stability, he said that fiscal
expenditures had got oriented towards investments. In 2019, revenue deficit
accounted for 70 per cent of the fiscal deficit and capital expenditure another
43 per cent. In 2024, revenue deficit and capital expenditure were balanced at
46.3 per cent and 47.6 per cent respectively of the fiscal deficit.
Nageswaran dwelt substantially on MSMEs and noted that while India had
many micro-enterprises and large companies, the ‘small and medium’ part of
MSMEs was still a “missing middle”. Noting that only 491 MSMEs were listed on
the stock exchanges, he said only 6.9 per cent of MSMEs had paid up capital of
more than ₹1 crore; just 7,062 had paid up equity more than ₹25 crore. He then mentioned some of the measures
announced in the Budget to help MSMEs – such as tweaking the regulations so
that more MSMEs could benefit from the bill discounting (TReDS) platform and
raising the limit for Mudra loans for MSMEs with good repayment record.
Earlier, welcoming the gathering, Tamil Nadu Governor R N Ravi said that
in the six decades after Independence,
India had “lost innumerable opportunities” because it “chose a direction which
took us downwards”. He observed that there was policy consistency in the
last ten years.