The two countries have already implemented an interim trade agreement in
goods and services in December 2022 and are now under negotiations to expand
its scope through CECA.
The next round of talks is expected in December here. “One of the areas of
interest for India is to strengthen our agreement on the services side because
our services exports are doing good. So whatever we feel can be done more where
India can actually improve our exports, we are looking at those areas and trying
to see what else can be done,” the official said.
The estimated value of service exports
during April-September 2024 is USD 180 billion as compared to USD 163.92
billion in April-September 2023. In 2023-24, it was over USD 340 billion.
India is also interested in government procurement, but the country has some
sensitivities in its government procurement.
“So, we have to find a fine balance in that,” the official said, adding India
is looking at business mobility in the CECA and migration. The last round of India-Australia
CECA negotiations was held from 19-22 August in Sydney in the
areas of goods, services, digital trade, government procurement, rules of
origin and agri-tech.”Efforts were made by both sides keeping in mind the
domestic sensitivities for reaching a balanced outcome,” the official added.
Australia is an important trading partner of India in the Oceania region, with
merchandise trade between India and Australia reaching around USD 24 billion in
2023-24. India’s exports to Australia last fiscal stood at USD 7.94 billion,
while imports were USD 16.15 billion. The trade between the two countries has
been hovering at around USD 25 billion mark since 2021-22. Further, the
official said that the negotiating teams from the
Association of Southeast Asian Nations (ASEAN) will hold the
next round of talks here from November 19-22 to review of the existing Trade in
Goods Agreement (AITIGA). The two sides have
aimed at concluding the review talks by 2025.
Virtual discussions are going on multiple tracks. We hope we should see some movement when
they come,” the official, who did not wish to be named, said. The AITIGA was
signed in 2009. The review of the AITIGA was a long-standing demand of Indian
businesses.
India is asking for a review of the agreement to eliminate barriers and misuse
of the trade pact by third countries. India’s trade deficit with ASEAN
widened from USD 4.98 billion in 2010-11, the first full year of operation of
AITIGA to USD 38.4 billion in 2023-24.
India’s exports to the 10-nation bloc ASEAN were USD 41.2 billion in 2023-24,
while imports aggregated at USD 80 billion in the last fiscal. While the rules
of origin as such are not a big issue, the concerns of India stem from the fact
that supply chains of ASEAN countries and China have become deeply integrated
in the past 15 years.
As per estimates, China during this
period increased its share of exports to ASEAN to 30 per cent from 10 per cent
earlier, while India’s share stagnated at 10 per cent. Apart from trade,
Chinese investments in ASEAN have also increased as it seeks to use these
countries to export to geographies like the US and Europe where it is
increasingly facing difficulties in direct exports.
China using the ASEAN route to misuse the trade agreement is a risk, the
official said, adding that the issue is also a challenge for the grouping as
Chinese investments in these countries have increased so addressing this would
not be easy.
ASEAN members include Brunei,
Cambodia, Indonesia, Laos, Malaysia, Myanmar, the Philippines, Singapore,
Thailand, and Vietnam.