Just
ten months into 2024, shipyards’ deliveries of container ships have reached a
new annual record, according to the latest update from BIMCO.
'A
total of 410 ships with a capacity of 2.5 million TEU have been delivered,
surpassing the previous full year high of 2.3 million TEU in 2023,” says Niels
Rasmussen, Chief Shipping Analyst, BIMCO. As
recycling of older ships has remained low, the deliveries have increased the
size of the container fleet by 2.4 million TEU (8.7 percent) since the
beginning of 2024.
The
container fleet now consists of 6,699 ships with a capacity of 30.4 million
TEU, the update added. "It has grown 32% since early 2020 as 7.8 million
TEU have been delivered during the first half of the decade, which is the most
during any five-year period."
Rasmussen
says: “Despite the rapid expansion of the fleet, owners continue to add orders
for new ships. So far this year, contracting is already more than double that
of last year’s total and 286 ships with a capacity of 3.3 million TEU have been
added to the order book. The order book dipped to 5.9 million TEU in early June
but is now back at 7.6 million TEU, 25 percent of the size of the total
fleet."
Operating owners control 78 percent of the order book but
only 60 percent of the fleet, and will therefore see their fleet continue to
grow faster than non-operating owners. "So far this decade, operating owners’ fleet has
grown 41 percent whereas non-operating owners’ fleet has grown only 18
percent."
The order book to fleet ratio is currently 25
percent but actual fleet growth will depend on future recycling. After a few
years of very low recycling, 3.4 million TEU will be more than 20 years old
next year and prime candidates for recycling in the coming years. If they are
all recycled during the next five years, fleet growth from the current order book
can be limited to 14 percent,” says Rasmussen.