“At the
last BRICS Summit in Kazan in October 2024, many participants, including
founding members, new members and even invited countries, were enthusiastically
talking about an alternative to the US dollar. Over-dependence on the dollar has caused problems, including
indebtedness for many countries, particularly lower income countries in the
global south,” a source closely tracking the development told businessline.
Despite
tariff threats by Trump, it is unlikely that BRICS members will offer any
commitment on giving up plans for de-dollarisation or a common currency,
although a BRICS currency is a distant possibility at present and needs a lot
of work, the source added.
The next
BRICS sherpas meeting, which may take place in early 2025 in Brazil, could
throw greater light on the matter as more discussions are expected on plans
announced at Kazan on de-dollarisation, the source said.
Soon after
Trump’s post, External Affairs Minister S Jaishankar said that India has never
been for de-dollarisation and right now, there was no proposal to have a BRICS
currency. “The BRICS does discuss
financial transactions…the US is India’s largest trading partner. We do not
have any interest in weakening the dollar at all,” he said.
Reserve
Bank of India (RBI) former governor Shaktikanta Das stated around the same time
that while India was not pursuing de-dollarisation, the recent measures aimed
at promoting transactions in domestic currencies was designed to mitigate risks
in Indian trade.
The BRICS
currency, being envisaged, is a notional currency and not a physical currency
like the dollar, and it was not clear if Trump understood this, the source
said. The concept is called the ‘benchmarking currency’, as it is a reference
currency. “Having a physical BRICS
currency is next to impossible as for that you need harmonisation of fiscal
polities and also monetary policies as things like debt to GDP ratio need to be
harmonised too. This is not possible in BRICS as there is a lot of variation
amongst members economies. But benchmarking currency is easily achievable,” the
source explained.
Benchmarking
currency will indicate the value of a product moving in the BRICS bloc as it
will be benchmarked with a BRICS currency value. “Now the BRICS currency value
perhaps will be determined by stronger economies like China, India and
Brazil….only a few currency basket that will form the BRICS currency. That has
to be discussed by the taskforce set up for it,” the source said.
At the Kazan
summit, the bloc announced plans that may advance de-dollarisation through
multiple strategic projects and initiatives including facilitating trade in local
currencies, exploring a common payments infrastructure, and developing a BRICS
grain exchange.