This year, some of the fruit came to the local markets early. This was
due to the favorable weather in some growing areas. With India growing more
than 40% of the world's mango production, there is so much volume available in
India for local consumption that some regional increase or decrease in volumes
doesn't affect the overall market dynamics as much."
Trump announcing tariffs against the entire world
did lead to some confusion and uncertainty. Khakhar states that although things have calmed down, with only the
flat 10% tariffs being in place, this will still have a major impact on the
demand from importers in the U.S. "The announcement of import tariffs by
USA coincided exactly with the first air shipments to USA. There was a lot of
uncertainty initially, as the exact mechanism of tariffs was also not fully
known. Indian mango has been subjected to an import duty of 6.6 cents per kg
from inception. The newly announced
tariffs were an interim of 10%, with them increasing to 26% from 9th April.
This has now been paused for a 90-day period, but the 10% tariff remains. These
ongoing 10% tariffs are quite significant. Certain price-conscious importers
have chosen to wait and watch rather than initiate imports." Khakhar says
that the trade to the United States had only just been ramping up, so these
tariffs really threw a monkey wrench in the entire export plans for this mango season:
"Traditional main-stay markets for Indian mango have been the Middle East
and Europe. Both have been well-served for several decades and offer limited
growth opportunities. While India has had USA market access since 2007, the
volumes have only recently started picking up. There was a pause in supply
during the two COVID-19 years. The
disturbance surrounding the Red Sea has also caused a lot of spikes in air
freight rates. As such, we were looking forward to a strong season this year,
but the ongoing volatility around tariffs do seem to have led to a subdued
start."
There's no need to
give up, though, Khakhar emphasizes. The
focus will now simply have to be on other markets. "We have chosen to
work on multiple markets around the world to reduce the risk to ourselves and
avoid relying on a single market. The global trade dynamics are changing, and
we need to adapt to the evolving situation. As it is famously said, change is
the only constant!"
"We have to read
the situation with a positive bent of mind. The impact of tariffs is quite
global. The flat 10% tariffs are applicable to most exporting countries for the
USA. We understand that our policy
makers are engaged with their counterparts in USA and there likely will be some
agreement on the long term. These are interesting times for the trade, and the
best we can do is to continue focusing on what our customers expect from us.
So we aim to deliver the best product with the best quality and service levels
and at competitive prices," Khakhar concludes.